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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Posted by By Briggs May 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

Posted by By Briggs May 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Lawrence Krauss Wants All Scientists To Be Militant Atheists

Krauss's biggest mistake in the first part of his "All Scientists Should Be Militant Atheists" article is to assume the (secular) government gets to decide right and wrong. Krauss is…
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Posted inBook review Culture

Stream: Sins of The Synod: Behind The Scenes at The Synod on The Family; Pentin’s New Book

Today's post is at The Stream: "Sins of The Synod: Behind The Scenes at The Synod on The Family". This is a review of Edward Pentin's must-read new book The…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Rhode Island Mandates HPV Vaccine, Tells Parents, “We’re The Government And Can Do What We Like”

I'm not sure what it is with lawmakers. Are they only interested in increasing control over citizens' lives? Or is it that in combination with ignorance? Let the Boston Globe…
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Posted inCulture

The Expansion Team Syndrome: SAT Scores & Science

What happens when a professional sports league expands? We talked about this before, but the obvious answer is that the average talent of the league decreases---for two reasons. The first…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Unknown Fallacy: Inflicting Your Views On Me

https://twitter.com/unknowncomic/status/639899682496454657 So a guy with a paper bag on his head, two holes cut for eyes and one for his pie hole, walks on stage, begins pumping his arms like…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On God’s Will

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. A quick…
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Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom: If You Like Your Religion, You Can Keep Your Religion

Law Of The Land! AP: A city clerk in Nuremberg yesterday issued a marriage certificate to a Jew and a German, violating the country's new laws forbidding such unions. Fritz…
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Posted inCulture

No Christians In Public Life? Kentucky Clerk Jailed For Refusing To Issue Gmarriage Licenses.

So this Rowan County Clerk Kim Davis, an elected official (Democrat) and therefore unfireable, has refused under court order to issue gmarriage licenses. The judge was asked by lawyers representing…
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  1. The Errors of Mr. Coffin on the PP signature and Apostolic Blessings – Roma Locuta Est on Munus, Ministerium & Pope Emeritus Benedict — Guest Post by Fr John RickertMay 16, 2026

    […] However, for the record I will note that myself and others (e.g., Ryan Grant, and Fr. John Rickert, HERE…

  2. John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026

    You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…

  3. JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026

    Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…

  4. McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026

    There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…

  5. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

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