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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Posted by By Briggs May 28, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Posted by By Briggs May 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space!

Today's post is at The Stream: "Attack Of The Black Swans From Outer Space: Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his co-authors fail to show their precautionary principle provides any guidance in…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

There’s More Than Physics: A Review Of Nagel’s Mind and Cosmos. Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Kurland provides us with a succinct review of Mind and Cosmos: Why the Materialist Neo-Darwinian Conception of Nature is Almost Certainly False. This will ease us into the week with…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Can God Know Things That Aren’t?

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Some simple…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Climatology Isn’t The Only Thing Killing Science

I received this interesting email from reader Mike Nash that I thought would be of interest to all. Nash saw my piece in the Federalist yesterday and commented. Sorry but…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Climate Change Alarmists Appear Immunized Against Reality at The Federalist

Today's post is at The Federalist: "Climate Change Alarmists Appear Immunized Against Reality". So Ars Technica sent a young man who bills himself as an "educator" and hydrologist to the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Planned Parenthood Kills And Sells Victims’ Body Parts. Evil Doc Says Yum

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/621065430996643840 It was bit of black comedy yesterday watching the reaction to the news that Planned Parenthood was selling the body parts of its victims. If you were (understandably) in…
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Posted inCulture

An Exchange with Newsday About Pope Francis

Regular readers will recall that I like to document my interactions with the press, especially the mainstream media. I do this to show the discrepancy from what they are told…
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  1. John M on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    The research and studies about reversing Alzheimer's and other dementia is amazing. It will have a big impact on longevity…

  2. C-Marie on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    Once a woman becomes pregnant, she is a mother, and the man who gave his sperm is a father. When…

  3. Gail Finke on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Guttmacher's numbers of pre-Roe abortions are hugely inflated. They had an interest in making those numbers higher (convincing people that…

  4. Johnno on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Well, hopefully they enjoy those longer lives while they last, because there is an eternity in Hell waiting for them…

  5. ~Nona on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Self-serving comment? Maybe. BUT it was really interesting to read. As a child I lived next door to a centenarian.…

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