William M. Briggs

How Many Lousy Predictions Until Error Is Admitted?

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Update Breitbart kindly asked to reprint this, and just did. How long does it take for an expert who has, year upon year after year, made predictions of unrealized…

Fun Statistics

Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups

Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…

Culture Statistics

Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…

Culture

Bill Nye Says, “Let’s Talk” About Global Warming. Okay, Let’s.

This article was co-authored by Willie Soon. If anybody has a way to contact Bill Nye, make sure he sees this. Bill "The Science Guy" Nye went on CNN recently…

Fun

Help This Reader Out: Best Science Material For Kids?

A reader writes (I've stripped out personal details): Dr. Briggs, I recently came across your work on The Stream. I was hoping you could point me to a resource or…

Philosophy

The I-Must-Be-Right-Because-I-Can’t-Think-Of-Another-Reason Fallacy

The I-Must-Be-Right-Because-I-Can't-Think-Of-Another-Reason---or IMBRBICTOAR, pronounced, in Latin, im-bri-bictor---has always been with us, but its use has latterly accelerated because of our culture's fascination with self-esteem. Schools and universities in the West…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Truth

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. There is…

Culture Statistics

This Week In Doom: Bad Science Edition

3 out of 4 scientists agree The bagatelle about how more than half of published research is wrong---a fact well known to regular readers---is garnering comment hither and yon. Joanne…

Steve on Proof!April 9, 2026
You don't need a publisher. It's just Godwin's Law in action. For whatever reason, that seals the deal for most…
gareth on Proof!April 9, 2026
Read it here, please. Which I did, and recommend others do too :-)
Cloudbuster on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026
One logical conclusion you could draw from this is that psychology isn't medicine and therapists and psychologists should not be…
spetzer86 on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026
Black people are reported as having a life expectancy of 75 years in the USA. That would give us another…
C-Marie on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
Yikes!! Pray for her complete conversion to Our Lord Jesus Christ. God bless, C-Marie

William M. Briggs

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes