William M. Briggs

The Miracles-Don’t-Exist-So-Miracles-Don’t-Exist Argument

https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=69&v=0d4FHHf00pY Say something nice: the Miracles-Don't-Exist-So-Miracles-Don't-Exist argument is conditionally true. If miracles are impossible, miracles, it follows logically, don't happen. No escaping the iron cladedness of that (you heard me:…

Fun Statistics

Masters Statistics & (Some) Predictions

Here's a view of the winning scores from par since the inception of the tournament. The early years saw little variability, but since the 60s there were a lot more…

Statistics

P-Value Hacking Is Finally Being Noticed

Since I'm on the road, all typos today are free of charge. Some reasonably good news to report. A peer-reviewed paper: "The fickle P value generates irreproducible results" by Lewis…

Fun

Discuss

I'm on the road---and in a chair.

Statistics

What Evidence Would Persuade You That Man-Made Climate Change Is Real?

Somebody named Ronald Bailey (he isn't anybody I know) at the inaptly named Reason asked the good question which heads this post. Second thought: the question is awful. No scientist…

Culture Fun

Al Sharpton: Republicans Has Climate Change

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cnnx2CmFJLI (Direct link to video.) God bless Al Sharpton. I mean this. God bless him. This video---this service Sharpton has done us---is final proof, it seals all deals, dissolves all…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God’s Intelligence Is His Essence

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. He is…

Culture Philosophy

This Week In Doom: All Things Gay & Equality

I wasn't planning on another of these so quickly, but since our slide into Doom accelerated this week, there is no choice. But since we already covered the news side…

gareth on Proof!April 9, 2026
Read it here, please. Which I did, and recommend others do too :-)
Cloudbuster on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026
One logical conclusion you could draw from this is that psychology isn't medicine and therapists and psychologists should not be…
spetzer86 on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026
Black people are reported as having a life expectancy of 75 years in the USA. That would give us another…
C-Marie on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
Yikes!! Pray for her complete conversion to Our Lord Jesus Christ. God bless, C-Marie
Johnno on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
The consensus of blacks should lynch her to protect their human dignity. "Lynching" being a medical term and community practice.…

William M. Briggs

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes