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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

Posted by By Briggs May 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Posted by By Briggs May 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Faith, Proof, & The A Priori

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide. Chapter 5: That those things which cannot be investigated by reason are fittingly proposed to man as an…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Killing Children Legally In Belgium

Euthanasia, the purposeful killing of another human being supposing or claiming his consent, represents the triumph of utilitarianism. When a life is deemed no longer "useful" or capable of generating…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Such Thing As Intrinsic Probability

This is less fun than looking at the so-called principle of indifference, which you must read first, and I realize we're wading into the depths and on a Friday, but…
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Posted inStatistics

Failed Counterexamples To The Principle Of Indifference

What is the so-called Principle Of Indifference? A semi-screwy, semi-right idea in probability. To cadge an example from David Stove, let T be any tautology (a truth), then      Pr(Bob…
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Posted inStatistics

Can A Disgusting Smell Turn You Conservative And Against Gay “Marriage”?

Can sniffing a sticky stained organic tote bag that has seen one too many trips to Whole Foods turn you into the kind of activist that haunts street corners and…
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Posted inFun

IPCC Intensifies Search For Missing Global Warming

We all know, agree, believe, and desire that the end is nigh, that the tipping point to climate chaos is only minutes away, that we've already seen and suffered the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Is This Sign Hate Speech?

A "controversial" sign sets the words, "If you think there is no God you'd better be right!" over small picture of flames. News reports say the sign was in front…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Things Which Block Truth

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide. Chapter 4 (1) WHILE then the truth of the intelligible things of God is twofold, one to which…
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  1. The True Nolan on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 11, 2026

    If Dawkins were more honest or perhaps more insightful he would say that "Claudia responds AS IF she were conscious."…

  2. RW Pearson on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    In liberal California, I luckily live in Orange County, where our good Sheriff is issuing CCW permits and they are…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    For murderers and certain other committers of heinous crimes, I am for trials and death sentences on Fridays, the weekend…

  4. Chad Jessup on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    How about three strikes, and you're dead, which of course would only be for the very violent criminals. Why warehouse…

  5. shawn marshall on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    General Pyotr Wrangel in his bokk "Always with Honor" immediately stopped the predation by his own troo[s upon peasants by…

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