William M. Briggs

Guinness, Heineken, & Sam Adams Now Political Statements, Not Beer

I was on the edge of abandoning Guinness anyway. Bars in Manhattan have been selling 13 ounce "pints" of it---and charging for 16 ounces---for the past few months. (If the…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

It’s Time To Lynch Those Who Deny Climate Skepticism

Let us agree with the enlightened that the world is imperfect and ought not to be. The cause of imperfection is human error which ought to be eradicated with extreme…

Culture Statistics

It Was Right To Dumb Down The SAT

It's difficult to design a test such that all those taking it do not all do well nor all do poorly. For instance, suppose the SAT were to consist of…

Philosophy Statistics

The Probability Of A Bottle Broken Into N Pieces When Struck By A Hammer

Logic is the study of relationships between propositions, and probability, which is the same, is thus the completion of logic to instances where the relationships are not certain. From this…

Culture Philosophy

If I Must Sell, You Must Buy

Note that this is from Jim Fedako. If I were a business owner, must I sell to you? If you answer yes, you must balance that requirement with your obligation…

Statistics

Betting Begins On Next Official “Orientation” Letter

I started this before I learned of Facebook's 50+ "gender" identities. But because our government will surely involve itself, what is below still has force. What will be the next…

Philosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part II

Read Part I. We haven't made use of our time machine in Jesus's case. So I ask you, is it possible that if we go far enough into the future,…

Philosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part I

Let's you and me see if we can figure out what caused little Jimmy Engstrom to crawl back from the brink of death. I'm not a physician and I'm assuming…

MikeW on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 16, 2026
There are many ways to reconcile alleged contradictions in the Bible, including the staff issue (which is not a particularly…
C-Marie on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
"Memories flag, you see,....." , BUT the Holy Spirit does not flag at all , and He It was Who…
Brian (bulaoren) on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
Should these (percieved) inconsistencies negate the whole body of teaching? I once knew a couple who were profoundly opposed to…
bmiller on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
What seems odd to me is that if he was once so fiercely committed to believing but concluded he was…
Cary D Cotterman on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
I'm still hung up on the staff issue. It doesn't make much sense for someone to tell you not to…

William M. Briggs

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Guinness, Heineken, & Sam Adams Now Political Statements, Not Beer

It’s Time To Lynch Those Who Deny Climate Skepticism

It Was Right To Dumb Down The SAT

The Probability Of A Bottle Broken Into N Pieces When Struck By A Hammer

If I Must Sell, You Must Buy

Betting Begins On Next Official “Orientation” Letter

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part II

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part I

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification