William M. Briggs

Russia’s View Of Itself In The World: Sobornost — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

A very close friend asked me a question. He read some blog article about Russia and the Consecration, and the part that Vladimir Solovyov played in this saga. My friend…

Culture Statistics

The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition

News is that Regime put out a new law, bypassing Congress as usual, in the form of an "executive order", about "AI". The new law's title is "Safe, Secure, and…

Culture

What Scientists Know That Ain’t So

"It's not what we don't know that prevents us from succeeding; it's what we know that just ain't so that is our greatest obstacle." I've seen versions of that quote…

Statistics

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…

Culture

Outsourcing Our Protection Made Us Weak

It's too bad we didn't accept the woke's offer to defund the police. They never thought their slogan through, and we should have closed with them before they had the…

Statistics

Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science

My favorite headline of late is from Stat, which I'll reveal in a brief moment. First, as I was discovering that headline, I saw the site's top crawl, which asked…

Culture Statistics

First Look At The FBI Crime Stats For 2022: I Don’t Even Have To Explain Per Capita

The FBI released its crime report for 2022, and I thought it instructive for us to examine homicide numbers. Homicides from 1985--2022. Now it is, or should be, obvious that…

Statistics

Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices

Robert Sapolsky, a Stanford academic, took decades---decades, he says---to conclude he does not have free will. He chose now as the time to tell us of his decades-long, fruitless search…

Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.
spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…
JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025
How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.
Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025
I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…
Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025
So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…

William M. Briggs

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification

England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women

On The Probability Of God

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

AI & The Dilemma Of Technology

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out

Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best

Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting

Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters

IQ Is Not Intelligence

What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?

Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Russia’s View Of Itself In The World: Sobornost — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition

What Scientists Know That Ain’t So

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

Outsourcing Our Protection Made Us Weak

Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science

First Look At The FBI Crime Stats For 2022: I Don’t Even Have To Explain Per Capita

Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification