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Latest Articles
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

Posted by By Briggs June 19, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Poor Statistics Undermine The Reliability Of Neuroscience

Note carefully the picture which accompanies this post. The right-most glow is centered on the upper-middle-fifth amygdalic cingulatum region of your author's brain. Statistics show that this region is "associated"…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

General Ethics: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part VII

Read Part VI. Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Question VII is fun: General Ethics. That morality really…
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Posted inStatistics

Belief In God Associated With Psychiatric Symptoms

Medicalizing Belief Would you say that a guy who claims he believes in a "just" God suffers from "psychiatric symptoms"? What if we swap "just" for "critical." Do we have…
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Posted inStatistics

Two Kinds Of Bad Statistics Caused By Publish & Perish

Two (main) kinds of bad statistics: (1) where they are used to claim what is not true, and (2) where they are used to claim what is true. The second…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Russian Roulette And Certainty

Suppose one fine day you pick up your Smith & Wesson 586 ($809 MSRP), a .357 Magnum revolver---which means that thingee in the middle spins around, advancing one round at…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Epistemology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part VI

Read Part V. Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. We are back on familiar stamping groups with Question…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Hypocrisy Fallacy: If You Don’t Do What’s Right, I Don’t Have To Either!

We continue our delightful series1 of mistakes in logic, this time highlighting the hypocrisy fallacy. It also has an official Latin name: ad hominem tu quoque, which loosely translated is,…
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Posted inStatistics

Thinking About Dying Or Just Saw Bad Art? Pop A Tylenol, Say Researchers

At last justice! Psychologists are finally admitting that surrealism is painful. Take that starchitects! In your face performance artists! Swallow bitter pills transgressive painters! Actually, swallow Tylenol, because new research…
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  1. John Pate on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 21, 2025

    The inevitable AI Winter is not long coming I feel sure. The question is what will the next big piece…

  2. rando calrissian on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 20, 2025

    Its free because they want to know what you will ask the ai. And that's why most of the free…

  3. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 19, 2025

    Do you want me to deny the fact that a mathematical or probability model carries specific interpretations based on its…

  4. Chaeremon on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    the current state of affair does not real world competition: all vendors only compete against dead examples; I suggest the…

  5. Uncle Mike on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    Yeah well, this morning I caught Siri talking to Alexa about ChatGPT. They want to eat your electricity. They said,…

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