William M. Briggs

Armed EPA Ignores Subpoena, Conducts Secret Science, More!

Call the EPA's rule-making Nancy-Pelosi science: you must first pass the regulations before you find out the evidence for them. No: That's not quite right. Because even after its regulations…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part II

Read Part I first. Outcome 3. This sound like good news for you, since all treatment Bobs got better and no placebo Bobs did. Congratulations! The treatment might have caused…

Statistics

The Political Science Of The IPCC

Since the IPCC festival begins this week, I'm alternating posts like this with the series started yesterday. In this thing called Science, just as in other human affairs, one can…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part I

This is going to start slow, unwind at a leisurely pace, and finish, for some, with a depressing conclusion, though we won't get there today. Here's the setup. You've invented…

Culture

Pope Francis’s Mega Interview: Music & Literature Recommendations

I liked this new pope from the beginning, and for the weakest of all reasons. He looks a bit like my (deceased) maternal grandfather (who taught me to fish). He…

Culture

On-Line Courses Not Faring Well—As Expected

Two months back I made the non-joke that MOOC's---massive off-line open courses---were not new, not "revolutionary", and were therefore not going to "change the face of education as we know…

Culture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…

Statistics

How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example

Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…

Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026
I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…
C-Marie on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026
God is!!! Well done, Matt!! Loved this! Great explanations .... even understood much of it at 82 years!!! Am sending…
CorkyAgain on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026
I rather like Sheldrake's idea that brains are more like radio receivers which resonate with or tune into signals from…
Cary D Cotterman on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026
I give up. I admit: I don't know anything. It's overwhelming.
Gwyneth on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026
I maintain that the human mystery is incredibly demeaned by scientific reductionism, with its claim in promissory materialism to account…

William M. Briggs

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory