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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Posted by By Briggs April 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Posted by By Briggs April 23, 2026
Continue Reading
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
Posted inStatistics

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

My son had the opportunity to go skiing at a hotspot out west. One of the first things he was asked was if he had a ski lift pass looped…
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Class 79: Time Series Example
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
Posted inStatistics

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Here, I promise you, was "breaking" news from not long ago: "United States Representative Tim Burchett says aliens could be stationed in five or six underwater bases off the U.S.…
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Posted inStatistics

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

Headline (one of many): "Long COVID may be triggering Alzheimer’s-like changes in the brain: new study". Story: The effects of long COVID rage on. Over 20 million Americans are believed…
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AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
Posted inStatistics

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Here is a typical calm well-reasoned take on computer models (a.k.a. AI): I pointed out: "Stop terrorizing yourself. AI is just computer models, hooked to the wall by cords that…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
Posted inStatistics

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart at age four gave what was by all accounts a terrific piano recital, the first of many. In more recent times, Kit Armstrong (now 33) at age…
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Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
Posted inStatistics

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Not long ago, a 16 year old girl had her breasts sliced off because a therapist convinced her she was a boy. A surgeon sharpened his scalpel and did the…
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  1. Zundfolge on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    I've been saying for some time that the public is being primed for a faux First Contact scenario (ala Project…

  2. NLR on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    If there really were a species that could travel here from another planet, that would be something totally outside the…

  3. Economist Says the Quiet Part Out Loud: High Energy Prices are ‘Good for the Climate’ | Progress with God on The Consensus That Wasn’t: Less Than 1%, Not 97%April 26, 2026

    […] economist would recognise as market-based. Yet we are told, with straight faces, that the ‘97% consensus‘ demands we accept…

  4. John Pate on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 23, 2026

    Ovarian Logic has no relationship to, and is not amenable to, formal logic or considerations of causality and empirical observation.…

  5. C-Marie on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Well, skin colour is given by God to each of us. And, Jesus Christ is the only Saviour. Let us…

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