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Latest Articles
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 2, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Posted by By Briggs March 31, 2026
Continue Reading
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
Posted inStatistics

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Here is a typical calm well-reasoned take on computer models (a.k.a. AI): I pointed out: "Stop terrorizing yourself. AI is just computer models, hooked to the wall by cords that…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
Posted inStatistics

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart at age four gave what was by all accounts a terrific piano recital, the first of many. In more recent times, Kit Armstrong (now 33) at age…
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Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
Posted inStatistics

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Not long ago, a 16 year old girl had her breasts sliced off because a therapist convinced her she was a boy. A surgeon sharpened his scalpel and did the…
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Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

There are two new claims from last week that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been reached, as detailed in Tree of Woe's recent article on the subject. One claim is…
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Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

The hersterical (there is no misspelling) headline: "Polar bears are 'rewriting their DNA' to survive warming Arctic, study suggests" (one of many who "reported" on this). I suppose it's good…
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Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
Posted inStatistics

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Here is a recent LSAT question setup (thanks to Thanatos Savehn for pointing it out): And here are the possible answers: Please take a moment to think and answer. Do…
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How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
Posted inStatistics

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

The experiment with women's suffrage, driven originally and sustained by Equality, is about a century old. Let's look at one simple number. Here from the US Census, June 2020, are…
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  1. Johnno on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleApril 2, 2026

    Has this Pierre perhaps considered that it is the light of Belgian criminal law and more specifically the anti-racism law…

  2. Johnno on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 2, 2026

    God already foresaw all this. He warned us so in 1916 and provided a solution since 1929, in the run…

  3. JH on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 1, 2026

    Promoting greater equality at home can be a solution, in addition to offering incentives to involve grandparents, as Frick suggests…

  4. Uncle Mike on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 1, 2026

    I feel the same way. Tilting at windmills while the sun sets. Impossible dream, unbeatable foe, marching into hell for…

  5. Cloudbuster on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    "How can you deny women what men have?" One simple word: No.

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