Today’s post is at the Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes. The popular web cartoon xkcd has provided a wonderful opportunity to plug my must-read (and too expensive) book Uncertainty: The […]
The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological factors. The […]
Today a deal so unbelievable that it can’t be believed! No, wait. In fact, the deal was so unbelievable that it couldn’t be believed. This follows logically: that which is unbelievable cannot […]
Trump just said his unfavs have gone down. False. https://t.co/Bf9tXpIDeY pic.twitter.com/FHROorfq8w — Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) April 27, 2016 If you can’t see the tweet, and tweets are ephemeral, the screen shot is […]
There are two senses of Signal and Noise (SN). The first is obvious: a signal, some known phenomenon, is corrupted by outside forces, where these caused corruptions are the noise. The second […]
It’s probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was “#1 New Release in Epistemology” then “#1 New Release in […]
No, data do not have means. Nor do they have variances, autocorrelations, partial or otherwise, nor moments; nor do they have any other statistical characteristic you care to name. Data only have […]
Lots of people are asking me about Douglas Keenan’s challenge to identify which time series meets a certain criterion. If our betters are as good as they say at identifying signals in […]
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