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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Posted by By Briggs April 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inFun

Is This The Real William M. Briggs?

Click on this button for further and more exciting delights. Follow @mattstat
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Posted inStatistics

Poor Statistics Undermine The Reliability Of Neuroscience

Note carefully the picture which accompanies this post. The right-most glow is centered on the upper-middle-fifth amygdalic cingulatum region of your author's brain. Statistics show that this region is "associated"…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

General Ethics: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part VII

Read Part VI. Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. Question VII is fun: General Ethics. That morality really…
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Posted inStatistics

Belief In God Associated With Psychiatric Symptoms

Medicalizing Belief Would you say that a guy who claims he believes in a "just" God suffers from "psychiatric symptoms"? What if we swap "just" for "critical." Do we have…
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Posted inStatistics

Two Kinds Of Bad Statistics Caused By Publish & Perish

Two (main) kinds of bad statistics: (1) where they are used to claim what is not true, and (2) where they are used to claim what is true. The second…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Russian Roulette And Certainty

Suppose one fine day you pick up your Smith & Wesson 586 ($809 MSRP), a .357 Magnum revolver---which means that thingee in the middle spins around, advancing one round at…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Epistemology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part VI

Read Part V. Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. We are back on familiar stamping groups with Question…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Hypocrisy Fallacy: If You Don’t Do What’s Right, I Don’t Have To Either!

We continue our delightful series1 of mistakes in logic, this time highlighting the hypocrisy fallacy. It also has an official Latin name: ad hominem tu quoque, which loosely translated is,…
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  1. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you point out, the whole thing with these questions is in the initial setup. Whoever invented this one, deliberately…

  2. C-Marie on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    Well said, everyone! So, do read Matthew 24 to know what Jesus said about the end times. God bless, C-Marie

  3. Cary D Cotterman on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    You can google the rarest of all animal species, some of which have only a few known living examples on…

  4. Philip Rogan on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    "To Serve Man."

  5. Zundfolge on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    I've been saying for some time that the public is being primed for a faux First Contact scenario (ala Project…

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