William M. Briggs

Class 5: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Induction & Intellection

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute Next week we finally begin probability. Let there be joy! HOMEWORK: Read. I mean it. Read the chapter below. Lecture…

Culture

House Of Representatives Suspends Constitution For Its Favorite Victim Group – TWID

A seemingly busy Week In Doom these past seven days. But it was mostly for show, I think, as we'll see. Good News First! Item: Joe Biden has finally found…

Statistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Philosophy

Woke Call Speaking Undesirable Truths Epistemic Violence

Silence, they say---and they do say this---is violence. So is speaking violence. At least when the words spoken express disagreement with woke local truths, which is to say, with woke…

Statistics

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

In my long studied career of insolence and rough defense of Reality, not to mention my general constitutive abrasiveness---I was "born that way"---I have been called every variety of choice…

Class

John Pate on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 23, 2026
Ovarian Logic has no relationship to, and is not amenable to, formal logic or considerations of causality and empirical observation.…
C-Marie on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
Well, skin colour is given by God to each of us. And, Jesus Christ is the only Saviour. Let us…
Brian (bulaoren) on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
@Cary I'm not sure what a "Martian giant" is... Elon Musk? I tried Google but all I found was a…
John M on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
Liberalism Is a Mental Disorder by Michael Savage, ISBN 1-59555-006-2
Cary D Cotterman on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
You speak wisdom, Martian giant.

William M. Briggs

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

Class 5: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Induction & Intellection

House Of Representatives Suspends Constitution For Its Favorite Victim Group – TWID

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

Woke Call Speaking Undesirable Truths Epistemic Violence

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification