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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Posted by By Briggs April 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

DC Comics Fans Call For Boycott Over Orson Scott Card’s Same-Sex “Marriage” Views

"Batwoman has been a lesbian since 2006." I wonder what made her change her mind? Turns out that Alan Scott, a.k.a. Green Lantern, also turned gay in 2012. Maybe it…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pope Benedict To Resign

Word just came in that our scholar pope is resigning. Old age. First Holy Father to give up the reins since the early fifteenth century. A holy Cincinnatus, as it…
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Posted inStatistics

Historic Storm Nemo And The Feminization Of America. Crucial Photographic Updates

Post's original title: Feminization continues apace: Wall Street Journal edition The old joke has been modified: A sweater is a garment a citizen puts on when the government gets cold.…
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Posted inStatistics

Selective Abortion To Create Master Race: Progressive Academic Pushes For Moral Enhancement

Today's discovery is yet another academic with the map to Utopia glistening in his mind's eye. David DeGrazia of George Washington University, author of the peer-reviewed paper "Moral enhancement, freedom,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Sex Selection And In Vitro Fertilization

I'm always on the lookout for remunerative ways to spend my time. There yesterday on the American Statistical Association jobs site was a situation for a Medical Statistician, which is…
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Posted inCulture Fun

E-books Will Lead To A Decrease In Reading

I have a Kindle. (It was generously donated by a reader a few years ago.) I have, say, 200 books on it, nearly all free from Project Gutenberg and similar…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Firearm Homicide Rates Around The World: Comparing With USA

Here's an around the world tour of homicide rates by firearm, brought to you by our friends at the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime. Rates are per 100,000…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability Is Not Subjective (It Only Seems Like It Is)

Logic Start with standard logic; think syllogisms. This is not a trick question: Is it true or false that C = "George wears a hat"? There is no way to…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    If the colors of the buttons reflect the same ideological sides they do in current discourse, then disappearing the blue…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…

  3. Zundfolge on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I have to wonder if the colors were reversed if that would influence people's choice. Because the way the blue…

  4. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    Not sure why the dollar signs did not work and made everything italicized, but the sentence should say: If the…

  5. McChuck on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    “Blue pushers are useless cattle. I’d feel no dread knowing they would all die.” Yes. The colors of the buttons…

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