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Latest Articles
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
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Register Your Predictions For 2026!
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Happy New Year!
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How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
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Why The Drake Equation Fails
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Merry Christmas!
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Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science
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Climate Models
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Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?
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No Class: But Here’s Some Homework
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On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
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How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
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Posted inStatistics

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Posted by By Briggs January 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Posted by By Briggs January 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Richard Muller’s Political Move—BEST is Best? Sophisticated Statistics!

Our Berkeley Earth approach used sophisticated statistical methods developed largely by our lead scientist, Robert Rohde, which allowed us to determine earth land temperature much further back in time. Ah,…
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Posted inStatistics

Doctors For Disaster Preparedness Talk

Here's the PDF of my talk DDP 30th Annual Meeting. "Statistical Follies and Epidemiology." They picked the title. Have fun!
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Posted inFun

Google’s Eric Schmidt & Chicago’s Rahm Emanuel Blaze Path Of Ugliness

This is a picture of Google's Eric Schmidt & Chicago's Rahm "Crisis" Emanuel from today's Wall Street Journal story Google Move Buoys Chicago Tech Hub. Chicago! The city of the…
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Posted inCulture

The Chicago Way With Chik-Fil-A

There is a sense in which we all argue that is statistical. For instance, if we say of a group that it sports an "arrogant attitude" we do not mean…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

True Value Of A Parameter

Jelle de Jong writes in to ask: Working as a quant analyst in finance I recently got interested in the Briggsian/Jaynesian/Bayesian interpretation of probability but am still struggling a bit…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part II

McKibben's Folly Suppose it is true that we have E = "A six-sided object, just one side of which is labeled 6, and when tossed only one side will show."…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part I

Probability is screwy, and we statisticians do a horrible, rotten job of teaching it. The first thing students learn in normal statistics classes is about "measures of central tendency" or…
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Posted inStatistics

Men Nine Feet Tall And Bayes Theorem

The OFloinn put up a most readable and recommended essay When is Weather Really "Climate"? and in one of the comments a reader named Gyan in part said: Many economists…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 13, 2026

    No news source is perfect. Fox openly owns their conservative point of view. NPR lies about being unbiased. Even with…

  2. Tars Tarkas on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 13, 2026

    "(I have in the queue a story on confirmation bias of academic Experts that confirms my bias that academic Experts…

  3. Stan on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 13, 2026

    Around 2013, I obtained all death certificate data from the state of California for the years 2000-2012. I posted on…

  4. Briggs on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026

    Anon. I believe you'll find they are the same. I did a little shorthand by first taking the absolute value…

  5. Anonymous on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026

    Errata: your moneyline formula should have (x - 100) in the denominator for -x.

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