William M. Briggs

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that "increased" means a combination of "linear…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II

Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given…

Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I

This series originally began 5 February 2012. Part I, II, III, IV, V. We've gone on and on about how to think about time series, but we are having trouble…

Philosophy Statistics

On Corrections In Science

Somebody attributed to Max Planck, a constant1 source of wisdom, the saying that science advances funeral by funeral. This is a pithy condensation of his more famous quotation: A new…

Culture Fun Statistics

Should Scientists Be Held Legally Responsible for Their Results?

That title is lifted from Popular Science's brief article. The idea is that scientists---as philosopher Christopher Essex reminded me, just like doctors and accountants and businessmen and engineers and everybody…

Statistics

On Global Warming Apoplexy: Temperature Trends

It is a sure sign that Sanity has packed her bags and headed for the door when otherwise sober scientists begin slinging around terms like "denier" and "denialist." Language like…

Fun Statistics

How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool

Forget climatology. It's time for something really controversial. How to fill in those grid squares on the Super Bowl office pool. An example of one is shown below. The full…

Statistics

Bad Astronomer Does Bad Statistics: That Wall Street Journal Editorial

Remember when I said how you shouldn't draw straight lines in time series and then speak of the line as if the line was the data itself? About how the…

Uncle Mike on On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject ItAugust 18, 2025
Victimhood is now several degrees removed from the alleged oppression. Example: the new Spotted Owl Plan Amendment mentions HISBIPOCs throughout…
Johnno on On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject ItAugust 18, 2025
Briggs, you've neglected to mention the final solution to the victim oppressor problem... Baptism. Get baptized! And watch as all…
Tars Tarkas on On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject ItAugust 18, 2025
It's so much worse than you say. Take the Holocaust for example. We Americans are blood libeled for it, despite…
Michael Dowd on On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject ItAugust 18, 2025
True Christians when victimized for their beliefs accept this as a positive thing, an opportunity to imitate Christ, the ultimate…
gareth on Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? IIAugust 16, 2025
Errr... Calculating the probability of what we did see should be = 100% So why calculate it? (Enquiring minds, etc.)

William M. Briggs

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat

New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest Bounty

Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The World

The If I Were God Fallacy & Evolution

Universities Need To Be Made To Lose Prestige

Only Credentialed Artists Can Appreciate This

Does Watching TV Cause Autism?

Peer-Reviewed Research: Men Find Looking At Nearly Naked Women Distracting

A Week’s Vacation

Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong

Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study Finds

Jung’s Synchronicity & Coincidence

Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I

On Corrections In Science

Should Scientists Be Held Legally Responsible for Their Results?

On Global Warming Apoplexy: Temperature Trends

How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool

Bad Astronomer Does Bad Statistics: That Wall Street Journal Editorial

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification