William M. Briggs

Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy, Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist…

Statistics

BEST And The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy

Carl Bialik, the Wall Street Journal's Numbers Guy, has two columns about BEST's temperature reconstruction model: "Global Temperatures: All Over the Map" and "A New Trove of Global Temperature Numbers").…

Statistics

The Twinkie Defense Defended: Soda Pop And Violence In Teens

In 1979, Dan White1 was tried for the assassinations of San Francisco city district Supervisor Harvey Milk and Mayor George Moscone. His lawyers argued that he had diminished capacity and…

Fun Statistics

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

I have, with mechanical aid, again winged my way across the globe in search of treasure. I landed disoriented and would not trust myself to calculate even the integral of…

Fun

A Final Solution To The Financial Crisis: Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Welcome to our WISE Uncle Mike, who provides for our review a unique idea to solve the world's financial mess. Greek residents will want to pay particular attention. Your Host…

Fun Philosophy Statistics

Best Statistics Question Ever

Several readers have sent this one in1. One Raymond Johnson (or was it Ryan Grover?) said he found the following picture on this blackboard (I pulled my copy from Flowing…

Culture

Banzhaf’s Assault Against Logic: Muslims Are Not Suing Catholic University

Lawyer John Banzhaf is thrilled and chagrined about the publicity he has received over the complaint he filed with the Washington DC Office of Human Rights. It has been widely…

Statistics

BEST’s Worst Work; What Is Significant?

You will have already seen this comparison graph from the Daily Mail. That paper points out correctly that the version of the plot provided by BEST is presented in such…

Steve on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026
I think the soft men thing requires a certain kind of softness. Tolerance. Men soft in other ways results in…
Brian (bulaoren) on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026
Dr. Jack Kevorkian was, during the mid 1990s, the champion of the life ending cult. As his lunacy became more…
Stephen J Frick on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026
The thinking here seems so true. I offer one potential benefit of this post. I will now reconsider whether traveling…
Dana on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026
I read a prediction sometime ago that by 2075, religion as we know it will not exist. Maybe there will…
C-Marie on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026
Do read up on Pope Benedict XVI and more, and Pope John Paul II .... do a search for "Catholic…

William M. Briggs

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

BEST And The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy

The Twinkie Defense Defended: Soda Pop And Violence In Teens

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

A Final Solution To The Financial Crisis: Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Best Statistics Question Ever

Banzhaf’s Assault Against Logic: Muslims Are Not Suing Catholic University

BEST’s Worst Work; What Is Significant?

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification