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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Happy Birthday to US

Posted by By Briggs July 2, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)

Posted by By Briggs July 1, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy, Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist…
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Posted inStatistics

BEST And The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy

Carl Bialik, the Wall Street Journal's Numbers Guy, has two columns about BEST's temperature reconstruction model: "Global Temperatures: All Over the Map" and "A New Trove of Global Temperature Numbers").…
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Posted inStatistics

The Twinkie Defense Defended: Soda Pop And Violence In Teens

In 1979, Dan White1 was tried for the assassinations of San Francisco city district Supervisor Harvey Milk and Mayor George Moscone. His lawyers argued that he had diminished capacity and…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

I have, with mechanical aid, again winged my way across the globe in search of treasure. I landed disoriented and would not trust myself to calculate even the integral of…
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Posted inFun

A Final Solution To The Financial Crisis: Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Welcome to our WISE Uncle Mike, who provides for our review a unique idea to solve the world's financial mess. Greek residents will want to pay particular attention. Your Host…
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Posted inFun Philosophy Statistics

Best Statistics Question Ever

Several readers have sent this one in1. One Raymond Johnson (or was it Ryan Grover?) said he found the following picture on this blackboard (I pulled my copy from Flowing…
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Posted inCulture

Banzhaf’s Assault Against Logic: Muslims Are Not Suing Catholic University

Lawyer John Banzhaf is thrilled and chagrined about the publicity he has received over the complaint he filed with the Washington DC Office of Human Rights. It has been widely…
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Posted inStatistics

BEST’s Worst Work; What Is Significant?

You will have already seen this comparison graph from the Daily Mail. That paper points out correctly that the version of the plot provided by BEST is presented in such…
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  1. Michael D on Happy Birthday to USJuly 2, 2026

    I watched the count at a friend's house but at home Mom determined what was watched so...

  2. John Pate on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Never mind P values, follow the money.

  3. EricKayScifi on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    @Cary, actually I heard the P values were actually really good in that study, but then the scientist couldn't believe…

  4. Cary D Cotterman on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    I just read an article that claimed ice cream is healthy food. I love ice cream, but for the last…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Sometimes the "P" is silent, as in "swimming pool".

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