A prediction (made on Monday, 28 June) verified: Although—and this has nothing to do with the issue at hand—Argentina’s goaltender Sergio Romero stinks, and that’s putting it nicely. Every shot on goal […]
Newcomb’s Paradox And Probability
This article was suggested by reader JH who saw it discussed at Massimo Pigliucci’s site. When he was at the Lawrence Livermore Laboratory, William Newcomb devised the following puzzle, which some say […]
Can You Read My Mind?
Ghosts, ESP, telekinesis, astrology, and other assorted oddities are back in view. One of the “SyFy” channel’s most popular series is a show about hunting apparitions. The movie Men Who Stare at […]
This is just a rough prototype meant to be easy to play with inside a post. READ the help and guidebook! Suggestions for new canned examples welcome—the hard part is deriving historical […]
Worst Science Fiction of All Time
Shoot to kill July 1995 (I wrote this about six or seven years ago and had it posted to my website where I was a graduate student. I thought that it was […]
Can having a mammogram kill you? How to make decisions under uncertainty.
The answer to the headline is, unfortunately, yes. The Sunday, 10 February 2008 New York Post reported this sad case of a woman at Mercy Medical Center in New York City. The […]
Hitting or Pitching. Which wins more games?
By Tim Murray and William Briggs You obviously need to score runs to win baseball games, and buying better hitters does this for a team. But you also need to keep your […]
The MIT Dahn Yoga Brain Respiration Experiment: Part II
STUDY DESIGN As I mentioned last time, it is crucial to design a test that eliminates all possibility and suspicion of cheating. If the KIBS kids were going to demonstrate extraordinary powers, […]