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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)

Posted by By Briggs July 1, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!

Posted by By Briggs June 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
Read More
Posted inCulture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…
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Posted inStatistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Job Wanted: Tall Statistician Seeks Match

I am hoping that among my faithful readers there is somebody that knows somebody who might know a guy who's looking for a statistician. The economy is such that consulting…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Scientific Concept Would Improve Everybody’s Cognitive Toolkit? Edge

Long-time reader Randy Brich reminds us all to head over to Edge.org and read the responses to the 2011 World Question given in the title. It will be worth your…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Sometimes the "P" is silent, as in "swimming pool".

  2. EricKayScifi on Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!June 30, 2026

    There's also a complete lack of understanding that 'synthetic' data IS NOT actual data. Nor is 'extrapolating and modelling' real…

  3. hudbwu on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 30, 2026

    Is this the essay in which he claims women are stupider because their bodies invest so much into reproduction they…

  4. Johnno on Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!June 29, 2026

    Complaining about deaths is bigoted micro-aggressive language targeted at minorities of peoplehood that believe in and worship Death as a…

  5. Johnno on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 29, 2026

    "Everything in woman is a riddle, and everything in woman hath one answer - it is called pregnancy." - Friedrich…

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July 2026
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