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William M. Briggs

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Class 97: The Goal Of Models
October 15, 2026
Book Update
October 14, 2026
Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
October 12, 2026
Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
October 8, 2026
Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
October 5, 2026
Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
October 1, 2026
Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
September 30, 2026
Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
September 28, 2026
Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
September 25, 2026
Whoring For Climate Change
September 23, 2026
Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review
September 21, 2026
Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable
September 17, 2026
PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
September 16, 2026
The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan Edwards
September 15, 2026
Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AI
September 14, 2026
Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value
September 10, 2026
Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris Podcast
September 9, 2026
Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”
September 8, 2026
Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?
September 3, 2026
Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & Intelligence
September 1, 2026
Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The Species
August 27, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 97: The Goal Of Models

Posted by By Briggs October 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Book Update

Posted by By Briggs October 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Iowahawk Does Statistics—-Properly!

Thanks to the many readers who sent in this tip. The Iowahawk, a.k.a. David Burge, the beloved assassin of pomposity and pretension has taken the often hysterical Paul "Global Warming…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

TSA Expands Jurisdiction To Sidewalks: Where Is The Left?

"Sir? Please step over here. You need to be x-rayed." "What? Get outta my way. Who are you?" said the man. "Sir, please step over to the machine. You have…
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Posted inCulture

Reaction To The Latest Attack In Frankfurt

The spin from the military and from the Obama government regarding Army Major Nidal Hasan's bloody Allahu Akbarization of Fort Hood said he was a troubled man, influenced only by…
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Posted inCulture

Low Flow Toilets Equals No-Flow Sewers In San Francisco

If you're an environmentalist, particularly a San Francisco version of that creature (one of the most virulent of the breed), it must have come as quite a shock for you…
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Posted inStatistics

Stock Tomato Seeds! Global Warming Is Coming!

It must be a joke. The punchline is surely coming. Ha, ha! Hoarding tomato seeds! Bars on his basement windows! Hilarious! This guy really nails nuttiness. He'll shame a few…
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Posted inFun Statistics

And The Winner Goes To…Oscar Statistics Wrap Up

Our model was right: The King's Speech won. In this weekend's Oscar Statistics post, we modeled the chances of each nominated movie. We guessed that the movie most likely to…
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  1. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  2. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

  3. Brian (buaoren) on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    Hello again, friend Briggs How colloquial is your French? Please allow me to be te first to wish you; Merde!

  4. Cary Cotterman on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I just might buy a copy of the new edition, even though I already have the typo-ridden first one. I'll…

  5. Uncle Mike on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I lent my first copy to somebody? and they never returned it, so yes, I will buy a new one,…

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