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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday

Posted by By Briggs May 21, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Posted by By Briggs May 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Plutarch On Coincidence

I am traveling today and will be out of contact. And so the briefest introduction to coincidences via the examination of how one classic writer viewed them. We'll explore this…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Sophomoronology, John C. Wright’s Pathology of Intellectuals

The article by John Wright was suggested by reader Nate Winchester. The tenured intellectual is the only known creature that denies its own existence. They are, therefore, dangerous animals. Rather,…
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Posted inCulture

Life Isn’t Fair: Galarraga’s Imperfectly Perfect Game

The decks are awash: the tears have already reached the scuppers, and there's no sign of abatement. The output from the perpetually lachrymose has been prodigious. Even people who aren't…
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Posted inCulture

Ways Around Peer Review: viXra vs. arXiv; Plus, a Saturday Bonus!

viXra.org Which is arxiv.org backwards. From our pal LuboÅ¡ Motl, comes a (non-endorsed) introduction to a competitor of arxiv.org, the invitation-only "preprint" server. A "preprint" is a paper that has…
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Posted inCulture

Attention Lawyers: New Way To Sue Over Global Warming

Remember old Ned Comer? Old Ned was a good old boy who got walloped by Hurricane Katrina. Yes, sir, it rained on old Ned and he did get wet. He…
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Posted inCulture

Ottawa Soccer League: Score Too High, You Lose

Ottawa has a new rule on the books for kids playing league soccer. Any team that goes ahead by more than five goals loses. Yes, dear reader, your eyes do…
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You Have To Die Of Something: Cancer Deaths to Double

The morning headline is designed to make you nervous: Cancer deaths to double by 2030: study. "My God!," you reason to yourself before the coffee hits the bloodstream, "That means…
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Posted inCulture Fun

New Term For “Brights” Daniel Dennett, Richard Dawkins

A New Name The "brights" are at it again. What is a "bright"? It is not, as is by now well known to contemporary thinkers, the opposite of a "dim",…
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  1. spaceranger on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    Two things I can never figure out are UFO pictures and police body cam videos.

  2. Dave Narby on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    There's been some pretty clear ones lately, at least to the resolution of the camera used, e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pcEEXLOORLI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zkZ3x1T0QU This…

  3. James on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    The same logic applies to the phenomenon of "ball lightning". It sounds credible, but there are no photos of it…

  4. Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026

    Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    There are clear photographs of just about any phenomenon imaginable, regardless of how fast, distant, small, or ephemeral it may…

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