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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Posted by By Briggs May 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

Posted by By Briggs May 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS: I of III

In celebration of my having work, I present something that requires no thinking (on my part).   Part II Part III PDF DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS Part I of III Kick...two,…
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Posted inStatistics

At ASA/ISM Joint Statistical Meetings

Link. Watch this space for stories. (Updates to comments on other posts will be slow.) Update: Tuesday night. This story, sent in by Jim D., is a must read. Statistical…
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Posted inCulture

The Sad Decline in Music: Benny Goodman vs. House Music

Part I: Cole Porter vs. The Beatles Part II: Billy Strayhorn vs. Drake I apologize for the slowness in the appearance of this third battle, but I have just been…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Models, theories, consistency, and truth

Ready? Put on your best straight face, recall that global temperatures have not increased for a decade, and that it's actually been getting cooler, then repeat with Brenda Ekwurzel, of…
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Posted inStatistics

Coin, queries, and screening

Work has caught up with me yet again, so here are three interesting stories to wile the time away. The probability of a coin flip Reader Ari Schwartz sent in…
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Posted inBook review

An internet success story: Shakedown by Ezra Levant

Shakedown: How Our Government is Undermining Democracy in the Name of Human Rights by Ezra Levant M&S Recommendation: Buy if you want to slip Levant a Loonie, or go to…
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Taking stock in the track: horse races and brokerages

This column was inspired by an interview I did with sports reporter Mark McGuire at the Albany Times Union. His story, in anticipation of the Saratoga races, can be found…
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Posted inCulture

The sad decline of music: Billy Strayhorn vs. Drake

Inarguably, hip hop (rap) is one of the leading pop music genres; at least, it is one of the loudest. I did not know which hip hop singer to choose…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    There are clear photographs of just about any phenomenon imaginable, regardless of how fast, distant, small, or ephemeral it may…

  2. Steve on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    Briggs, you fool! You should know by now that extraterrestrials have image blurring technology. And before you ask, yes, they…

  3. McChuck on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    "Tomorrow Tomorrow never comes What kind of a fool Do they take me for? Tomorrow A resting place for bums…

  4. Philip Rogan on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    All I can say after reading the linked article is that I'm glad I'm not a professional academic philosopher.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    If a space-alien ever confronts me, and says "Take me to your leader", I will direct him (they?) to you.

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