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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Truly Random Numbers Found?

Posted by By Briggs June 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
Posted inStatistics

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Here is a typical calm well-reasoned take on computer models (a.k.a. AI): I pointed out: "Stop terrorizing yourself. AI is just computer models, hooked to the wall by cords that…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
Posted inStatistics

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart at age four gave what was by all accounts a terrific piano recital, the first of many. In more recent times, Kit Armstrong (now 33) at age…
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Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
Posted inStatistics

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Not long ago, a 16 year old girl had her breasts sliced off because a therapist convinced her she was a boy. A surgeon sharpened his scalpel and did the…
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Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

There are two new claims from last week that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been reached, as detailed in Tree of Woe's recent article on the subject. One claim is…
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Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

The hersterical (there is no misspelling) headline: "Polar bears are 'rewriting their DNA' to survive warming Arctic, study suggests" (one of many who "reported" on this). I suppose it's good…
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Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
Posted inStatistics

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Here is a recent LSAT question setup (thanks to Thanatos Savehn for pointing it out): And here are the possible answers: Please take a moment to think and answer. Do…
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How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
Posted inStatistics

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

The experiment with women's suffrage, driven originally and sustained by Equality, is about a century old. Let's look at one simple number. Here from the US Census, June 2020, are…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    Wait...Does this mean that all those non-winning lottery tickets, I've bought over the years, were drawn from non-randomly-generated numbers? I…

  2. McChuck on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    What QM leaves out of their "randomness is fundamental" picture is the state of the entire rest of the universe.…

  3. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 15, 2026

    LarryG, I appreciate that sport and game participants can enjoy their favorite activity but that doesn't make the activity entertaining.

  4. JR Ewing on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    I'm not a fan of airport security pantomime. There are a lot of things about it that I don't like,…

  5. LarryG on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 14, 2026

    The provincial and parochial attitude of Americans towards soccer perplexes me. It’s a great sport. High school: football, sat on…

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