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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Posted by By Briggs March 19, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

Posted by By Briggs March 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Briggs You Fool! A Reader Attempts To Rebut Arguments Against Morality, Eternity
Posted inCulture

Briggs You Fool! A Reader Attempts To Rebut Arguments Against Morality, Eternity

I'm thinking of starting a new series of posts, classed as BRIGGS YOU FOOL!, in which I cover emails of a certain genre I get. Email from Anon, in which…
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Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch
Posted inStatistics

Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch

Nature headline: "Timing matters for COVID vaccine effectiveness: Younger and older people gained greater protection if they had their jabs in the middle of the day." Good joke: "Went from…
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Why Do Experts Lie About Something They Call Carbon “Pollution”?
Posted inCulture

Why Do Experts Lie About Something They Call Carbon “Pollution”?

We continue our series of trying to understand the Expertocracy, our form of government, and its uses of propaganda to further the goals of our rulers. Lying is a common…
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The Beginnings Of The Expertocracy (a.k.a. Managerial Society) Starts With Napoleon
Posted inCulture

The Beginnings Of The Expertocracy (a.k.a. Managerial Society) Starts With Napoleon

The French Revolution is directly responsible for the creating the soil in which the managerial society grew. The Cult of Reason alone proves this. The initial flowering of the managerial…
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What Magic Tells Us About Propaganda & The End Of The Coronadoom Panic
Posted inCulture

What Magic Tells Us About Propaganda & The End Of The Coronadoom Panic

The coronadoom panic came to its ignominious official end last week. A panic created, embraced, exacerbated, and perpetuated by elites, rulers and Experts. Especially Experts. I was on long drive,…
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Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study
Posted inStatistics

Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study

Headline from 2014: "Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report". Here from NASA is a picture by year of the estimated minimum sea-ice extent, which occurs…
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Bring Back Global Warming — Guest Post by Richard Law
Posted inCulture

Bring Back Global Warming — Guest Post by Richard Law

'Rio de Janeiro is a city in South America. It is the capital of Brazil. It exports coffee and sugar. It has a tropical climate', so wrote the first form…
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What New Laws Criminalizing “Hate Speech” Really Mean
Posted inCulture

What New Laws Criminalizing “Hate Speech” Really Mean

Yesterday we investigated the I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy, which is invoked when academic Experts, baffled their theories are not as loved by others as by themselves, try to explain…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 20, 2026

    Hall of Fame essay. Post this again and often, whenever you have an opening.

  2. John M on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 20, 2026

    Peer review: Larry and Curlie agreeing Moe has a good idea.

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 19, 2026

    It's always "I'm right, because all the experts say I'm right. You wouldn't want to disagree with the experts, would…

  4. John M on The Great Effeminization of the AcademyMarch 18, 2026

    Genesis 3:13 And the LORD God said unto the woman, What is this that thou hast done? And the woman…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Effeminization of the AcademyMarch 18, 2026

    I can't read the titles or the excerpts without laughing out loud. They are comedy gold.

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