Briggs

Mask – Model – Medication – Mass Hysteria — Coronavirus Update LIII

MASS HYSTERIA There is already a paper on people going nuts: COVID-19 and the Political Economy of Mass Hysteria by Bagus et al. Abstract (with added paragraphifications by me): In…

Philosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Son Of God

Previous post. We begin with the metaphors, Son and Father. THAT THERE IS GENERATION, PATERNITY, AND SONSHIP IN THE DIVINITY 1 Let us take the beginning of our study from…

Culture

The Big Slide: A Short History of the Decline and Fall of the USA — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

The American Experiment peaked in the two decades following WWII and has been in decline ever since. Here's the story in a nutshell. When World War II ended, the USA…

Statistics

Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof

Mike Lindell, like Time magazine, questioned 2020's election results. Lindell says the election was shifted from Trump to Biden, which he decried. Time used the brand new euphemism fortified to…

Statistics

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition

Update I'm in Twitter jail again! HAHAHAHA. Supposed to be released 7 PM tonight, if I behave myself. HAHAHAHAHAHA! What our elders wisely called the clash of cultures has under…

Culture

The Military Purges And The Oligarchy

Let's hope no foreign power decides to attack us or any of our sworn friends (I use the term reluctantly) the next two months. The military will be too busy…

Statistics

Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII

EXPERTOLOGY The Daily Mail headline is that "experts" were "baffled" that coronadoom "cases", by which they mean infections, fell by 50%, and that (in another headlines) they were "plummeting". One…

Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 14, 2025
The answer is a question: what did you expect the counts to be? On what premises did you base your…
JH on Why Study Probability?November 14, 2025
Then some decision rule that says “This much departure from uniformity means loading.” Which rule may be different for you…
Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025
Thanks, Matt, but you haven't answered my question, either then or now. The last time I asked, I got this…
Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025
Or, Willis, you could take the course, study the classes, do the homework. Then, quite possibly, or even probably, you…
Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025
Willis, I have answered the question each and every time. Go back and look at when you asked, and you'll…