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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
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That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence
Posted inStatistics

That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence

Find by general acclaim the smartest man in the world. Call this man "Group A". Call everybody else "Group B". There will necessarily be a group difference in mean intelligence,…
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A German “Migrant” Explains Why Vigilantism Will Increase
Posted inCulture

A German “Migrant” Explains Why Vigilantism Will Increase

An old argument for a state police force is that justice is removed from family, clan, and tribe to what is seen as an impartial authority. This shift subdues, eliminates,…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Laws Are Divinely Given To Man
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Laws Are Divinely Given To Man

Previous post. Very simple Chapter this week. Notice that we don't say here what the law is, merely that is exists. THAT LAWS ARE DIVINELY GIVEN TO MAN 1 It…
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The Week In Doom — Bad Science Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Bad Science Edition

Abbreviated doom this week since I'm on the road. Item Mathematicians divided over faculty hiring practices that require proof of efforts to promote diversity (Thanks to Kip Hansen for the…
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Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll
Posted inStatistics

Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll

Pew has a large survey out with the title "In a Politically Polarized Era, Sharp Divides in Both Partisan Coalitions: Partisanship remains biggest factor in public's political values." I have…
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New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!

Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…
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Return of the Strong Gods by Rusty Reno Reviewed
Posted inBook review

Return of the Strong Gods by Rusty Reno Reviewed

Reno's contention is that World War II drove people nuts, and that the insanity we see out the window now is the direct result of actions taken to prevent a…
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  1. Cookie on What A WinterJanuary 23, 2026

    Energy bills will be up with this cold. I wonder what inflation will look like when winter is done? At…

  2. Hagfish Bagpipe on What A WinterJanuary 22, 2026

    Briggs, that sounds just dandy. You have important and challenging work to do. Work that rewards creative solutions and physical…

  3. Briggs on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    McChuck, That lieutenant must be at least a congressman by now.

  4. McChuck on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    I remember the multiple blizzards of the 1970's. I had to be outside on guard patrol all night in -40…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    There's always something busting on a house or a car, and mean weather doesn't help. The joy of home and…

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