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William M. Briggs

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Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic
Posted inClass

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…
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Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos are already a half hour. I can't see your faces so…
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Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…
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Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser
Posted inClass

Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser

See the end of this post for how the class might work and details about the video. Video Yes, the lighting is terrible. I give sallow a bad name. Links:…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread
Posted inClass

“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread

Special Saturday post. I am delighted to say that I had guessed wrong about Musk. I had thought he'd never fight the Regime in any serious way. Very happy about…
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The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It
Posted inClass Statistics

The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It

HUFFIN', PUFFIN' & BLUFFIN' The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb---the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the…
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Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
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  1. John Jorgensen on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 6, 2026

    It’s not the machines that are of concern but the models they run with great speed and access to huge…

  2. James on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026

    Assuming a 100% materialist world view, one must conclude that one's OWN thought processes are just so many particles exchanging…

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  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026

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  5. Cary Cotterman on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026

    This is the first time I've come across anybody mentioning the obvious oh-eff-eff solution. Anything that requires electricity is completely…

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