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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

BBC: Why Is There Something Rather Than Nothing? BBC: Because Something

Opens the BBC's campaign: Some physicists think they can explain why the universe first formed. If they are right, our entire cosmos may have sprung out of nothing at all.…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

An Introduction To Uncertainty: Probability, Statistics, and Modeling of All Kinds

This is a teaser, the first part of a 3,200-word narrative outline for the book that I've started to shop around. The current title is in the headline. Regular readers…
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Posted inStatistics

Sex With 21 (Not 20) Women Lowers Risk Of Prostate Cancer. It’s Science!

Today's headline was modified from the Telegraph, one of the least lurid and sensationalistic of those generated by the peer-reviewed paper "Sexual partners, sexually transmitted infections, and prostate cancer risk"…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Update On Gun Crime: Downward Bound. Vote Accordingly

Elections are nearing and some of our friends are worried about guns. Measures are on ballots, votes are urged; that sort of thing. Nerves are raw, tempers are flared. Now…
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Posted inStatistics

Doc Asks Fellows To Keep Statistics Simple

Our friend Christos Argyropoulos (‏@ChristosArgyrop) to a popular medical site in which Stephen Reznick asks "Keep statistics simple for primary care doctors." He can't read the journals, because why? Because…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Mysticism Of Simulations: Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Sampling, And Their Alternatives

Introit Ever heard of somebody "simulating" normal "random" or "stochastic" variables, or perhaps "drawing" from a normal or some other distribution? Such things form the backbone of many statistical methods,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Preponderance Of Evidence Criterion Is Absurd

Our beneficent government, through its Department of Education's Office of Civil Rights "sent a letter to colleges nationwide on April 4, 2011, mandating policy changes in the way schools handle…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Remarkable oeuvre. Tour de force. Congratulations. Thank you.

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    […] The COVID-19 virus is on its final legs, and while I have filled this post with graphs to prove…

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    Brother Cary, look harder. Everything you see reveals God. The complexity of your eye reveals God. The act of seeing,…

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    CDC: You have been given an opportunity. You have vociferously declined it. You have made your choice, which is the…

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