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Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy
Posted inStatistics

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

We did this years ago, but it's time for a refresh for new readers. You make a bet with a bookie. You don't want X to happen, where "X" can…
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Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine
Posted inStatistics

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

This one picture proves why you must distrust every new boast from every scientist. Scientists' ideas must be assumed false until they are proven true by people other than themselves.…
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“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All
Posted inStatistics

“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All

My goodness, what a distinguished list of AI Scientists and "Notable Figures" who have signed the "Statement on AI Risk". Important professors of computer science from top universities. Men, and…
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How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event
Posted inStatistics

How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event

We had the fourth Broken Science Initiative event this past Saturday at the Castro Ranch in Aromas, California. Which is apparently where CrossFit got its start. Standing room only. Terrific…
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It Will Soon Be Impossible For You Not To Be Sick, Even If You’re Healthy
Posted inCulture Statistics

It Will Soon Be Impossible For You Not To Be Sick, Even If You’re Healthy

It's too late for you, doomed reader. You know I love you, but I may have killed you. This makes me sad. Unless you are one of my despised enemies.…
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Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed
Posted inStatistics

Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed

This site is mirrored at Substack for those who prefer that format. Introduction Steve Kirsch ran a survey asking parents to say about their kids how many vaccinations of all…
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Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch
Posted inStatistics

Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch

Nature headline: "Timing matters for COVID vaccine effectiveness: Younger and older people gained greater protection if they had their jabs in the middle of the day." Good joke: "Went from…
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Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study
Posted inStatistics

Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study

Headline from 2014: "Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report". Here from NASA is a picture by year of the estimated minimum sea-ice extent, which occurs…
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  1. Johnno on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 21, 2026

    " I have never been a conspiracy theorist, for the simple fact that keeping secrets with multiple (tens, hundreds, and…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026

    @Cary Motorcycle accident? No, that was due to covid.

  3. Cary D Cotterman on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026

    In the mid '70s I was the janitor at Cal Tech's Kerkhoff Marine Laboratory, where they studied the effects of…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026

    I'm waiting for members of the California Coastal Commission to start disappearing.

  5. Bill Hankel on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026

    Thank you for your application of common sense (and math!) to this issue. I have never been a conspiracy theorist,…

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