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The Model That Dutch Rulers Rely On To Claim There Is A Nitrogen “Crisis” Has No Skill
Posted inStatistics

The Model That Dutch Rulers Rely On To Claim There Is A Nitrogen “Crisis” Has No Skill

Some rulers say there is a nitrogen "crisis", and others say there is a climate "crisis". There is no nitrogen "crisis", and there is no climate "crisis", neither. But since…
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Canada’s Science Coronadoom Model Discovers Canada’s Science Saved 800 Thousand Lives
Posted inStatistics

Canada’s Science Coronadoom Model Discovers Canada’s Science Saved 800 Thousand Lives

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. Here it is, right from the hole of Theresa Tam (you recall it was that Canadian official's…
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Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. https://twitter.com/MayorofLondon/status/1554464060732735488 An incredible result, says the mayor of London. Let's see how this incredible result came to…
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Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World
Posted inStatistics

Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World

Here's how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely,…
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The MIT Dahn Yoga Brain Respiration Experiment: How Belief In Failed Theories Persists
Posted inCulture Statistics

The MIT Dahn Yoga Brain Respiration Experiment: How Belief In Failed Theories Persists

This article began as a series beginning 3 January 2009. I thought it well to revisit it as an example of how to investigate controversial Science. Clever readers will notice…
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How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?
Posted inStatistics

How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?

Many scientists have taken up sounding silly lately. On purpose. I don't here mean denying sex, where many have made perfect asses of themselves. I mean on "carbon". They say…
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How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days
Posted inStatistics

How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days

Been a long while since we updated the coronadoom numbers. The big reason for our tardiness is the CDC is always late in reporting numbers, by at least eight weeks,…
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How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer
Posted inStatistics

How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer

Question from Anon (with added paragraphifications): Message: Dear Dr Briggs, I am a lay man in statistics, who has tried to avoid this kind of sport as much as possible,…
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  1. Philip Rogan on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Effective Altruism is something else I've never hard of but apparently has been infecting academic circles for decades. I took…

  2. John M on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Thanks for reminding me of that classic Klingon joke!

  3. Rob Potter on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Asimov's robot stories are the best example that an artificial intelligence is not intelligence. They were a fabulous way for…

  4. John Pate on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    We should all re-read our Ted Kaczynski materials. A man ahead of his time.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    While in university, I took a class called "Symbolic Logic". Logic was then taught through the Philosophy department, which was…

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