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Taleb Says If You’re Not Panicking, You’re A Psychopath
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Says If You’re Not Panicking, You’re A Psychopath

Another full coronavirus update will be posted tomorrow morning. You wouldn't think a beefy guy like Nassim Taleb would be a screaming sissy. His is, though. He has made himself…
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Are Movies Getting Worse?
Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Are Movies Getting Worse?

This post originally ran 26 July 2011. I should have mentioned the recency bias in the citizens, and that most critics nowadays are woke dweebs. But this was before the…
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Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go…
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Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values
Posted inStatistics

Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values

We last did third-hand smoking back in 2011. Even then I didn't think the concept would far. How silly can you get? Pretty silly. Thanks to Dan Hughes we have…
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Bayes Theorem and Coronavirus: The Chance You Have It & The Chance You Die
Posted inStatistics

Bayes Theorem and Coronavirus: The Chance You Have It & The Chance You Die

I didn't have a chance to put this in yesterday's update, but I've been asked to do it. It's a classic in every 101 biostat textbook to do Bayes theorem…
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Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
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Proof That Music Is Growing Worse
Posted inCulture Statistics

Proof That Music Is Growing Worse

This post originally ran 28 September 2011, and is in the top 20 of all posts. If I ever do it again, there is much I'd expand on. The basic…
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Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out

All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
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  1. NLR on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…

  2. Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…

  3. polybius on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025

    If I were God the word would not be as it is The world is as it is therefore I…

  4. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025

    Steve, Not only do I admit it, I insist on it, and say so above. Cathoics/Orthodox are largely educated in…

  5. Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 30, 2025

    @Briggs, "Many say various oaths and whatnot, but looking at their behavior it’s clear most have no idea what these…

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