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Posted inStatistics

Twenty Tips For Interpreting Scientific Claims

Title of today's post is taken from article of the same name in Nature by William Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter, Mark Burgman. Several readers asked me to comment. I'll assume you've…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Good Ways Of Speaking About Truth

"Quid est veritas?" Pilate asked. Famously, his interlocutor did not answer, perhaps because Pilate didn't give Him the chance. Then Pilate may have been (understandably) addled because the Answer was…
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Posted inFun

Top 20 Posts Of All Time: Reader’s Choice

Start of long weekend, where the Nation trips happily outside into the warm summer sun. Well, sun anyway---more or less. Not really summer, either. Turns out the climate change forecasts…
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Posted inStatistics

Use And Abuses Of Decision Analysis: Global Warming Example

Suppose we have a simple decision to make1: implement a government-takeover of all energy companies, so as to regulate with thoroughness their carbon budgets, or leave these entities as they…
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Posted inStatistics

Doomed Planet: Changing Sun, Changing Climate

Today's post is at Quadrant. Have you been there before? If not, you have a treat in store. The editors supplied this quotation: "Today's debate about global warming is essentially…
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Posted inFun

Global warming causes prostitution!

Update Moved up to allow comments. Originally posted November 2009. The Beaujolais nouveau (just got in my case for this year) shot out my nose when I saw this, the…
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Posted inStatistics

A Citizen’s Guide to Global Warming Evidence

Was it only me? I thought Chicken Little dead. After all, when was the last time we heard competent authority shouting "Only the government can stop the sky from falling!"?…
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Posted inStatistics

UN Nearly Makes Climate Change A Peace And Security Matter

Sorry for the cliché but Double, double toil and trouble; Fire burn, and caldron bubble! Global warming is generating an "unholy brew" of vexatious weather events that threaten "international peace…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass ShootingJune 3, 2025

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  2. NLR on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 3, 2025

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  3. Phil R on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 3, 2025

    Not sure if relevant, but short personal anecdote. My wife used to work for a pest control company. one time…

  4. JH on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 3, 2025

    Of course, experts are only considered experts when they say what you want to hear.

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    If you believe it is incorrect to conclude that a person with a higher IQ score tends to possess greater…

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