Search Results for “"time series"” – Page 2

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…

Statistics

“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”

"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…

Statistics

(Yet Another) New Paper Proves There Is No Nitrogen “Crisis” In The Netherlands

There is in the Netherlands a concocted "nitrogen crisis", which has all the earmarks of a manufactured panic. I don't mean in the conspiratorial sense. I mean in the Expert-created…

Class

Class 11: One Son Born Tuesday & Relevance. Update: Homework Added!

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: RELEVANCE. A psychic is guessing cards from a standard poker deck…

Statistics

Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. https://twitter.com/MayorofLondon/status/1554464060732735488 An incredible result, says the mayor of London. Let's see how this incredible result came to…

Statistics

Canada Becomes A Dictatorship; Elsewhere, Freedom Seeps In; Weekly All Cause Deaths for US & England

How much credit, he asked rhetorically, will our side receive for being right about everything? The numbers are below the story. Last week, inspectors noticed certain instabilities and micro-fissures in…

Fun

How I Became A Renegade Scientist

This old picture of myself and a fellow outlaw is given as proof of my deep anti-social propensities. A friend of mine, long ago, would sit and listen to George…

Statistics

There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse

Reader Chuck Lampert writes: Hi Briggs! I got into a kerfluffle with some Climate Apocalypse true believers who said the frequency of 1/50, 1/100, 1/500, and 1/1000 yr floods is…

Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024
gareth, If n = whatever, and k = 0,1,2,..., n. Then n - k = 0 at the end. And…
gareth on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024
16:43: "0!=1" - eh? n!=n*n-1... if n=0 then n!=0 Please explain or point to links that do :-) Comment: agree…
NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…
Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…
Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…