Posted inStatistics
Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics
You will forgive me if this post is more technical than usual. I try to leave out math, knowing how confusing it can be. But here it is necessary. The…
Posted inStatistics
An Electoral Train Wreck In Progress — Guest Post by Young, Droz, Davis & Belhar
S. Stanley Young, John Droz, Tom Davis, and Ray Belhar for The Science Team I am reporting for a pro bono team of computer scientists and statisticians, The Science Team.…
Posted inStatistics
How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
Posted inStatistics
The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
Posted inStatistics
Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics
A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of "Oh yeah,…
Posted inStatistics
Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent
Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
An Argument Against The Multiverse
The multiverse might be real. God might in His wisdom and love of completeness and true diversity and the joy of filling all possible potentials with actuality might have created…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
