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How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days
Posted inStatistics

How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days

Been a long while since we updated the coronadoom numbers. The big reason for our tardiness is the CDC is always late in reporting numbers, by at least eight weeks,…
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More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics

Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
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Posted inStatistics

Boris Says Be A Girl For Great Reset; CDC Counts Vaccinated Differently; Kentucky Court Victory; The New HCQ Paper; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXV

JUICING NUMBERS https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1402708260344500226 He who controls the data controls The Science™ (I repeat myself.) WE TOLD YOU SO I don't like recommending long videos, and rarely do it. I recommend…
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Results Consistent With Vote Switching Seen In Eaton County, Michigan — Guest Post by Stan Young, Tom Davis & Eric Quinnell
Posted inStatistics

Results Consistent With Vote Switching Seen In Eaton County, Michigan — Guest Post by Stan Young, Tom Davis & Eric Quinnell

Briggs Do not let Biden, who sold the office of Vice Presidency, frighten you. The fight continues. https://twitter.com/SidneyPowell1/status/1337653024349687808 I'm part of this; for example, Georgia. Click through to the main…
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How We’ll Know If The Vax Is Killing Kids —  Coronavirus Update CV
Posted inStatistics

How We’ll Know If The Vax Is Killing Kids — Coronavirus Update CV

DEAD BODIES https://twitter.com/le_Parisien/status/1457786009232424964 Here is a thread of young men, mostly athletes, who have recently dropped dead from heart attacks and the like (clots, etc.). Many such cases. Many such…
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Vaccine Efficiency Much Poorer In Real Life Than Promised In Clinical Trials — Coronavirus Update CII
Posted inStatistics

Vaccine Efficiency Much Poorer In Real Life Than Promised In Clinical Trials — Coronavirus Update CII

STUPENDOUS VIDEO (If the above video breaks, here's an alternate source.) Thanks to Ann Cherry and RA for the tip. Regular readers will know this is what we predicted back…
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The Noble Lie and Vexxine Madness — Coronavirus Update XCI
Posted inStatistics

The Noble Lie and Vexxine Madness — Coronavirus Update XCI

Once again, I beg you will forgive the use of the words vexxine and vexxinated. They are an attempt to avoid censor bots and cancellation. https://twitter.com/FamedCelebrity/status/1432456444880773125 https://twitter.com/FamedCelebrity/status/1432457513954381825 SAFETY FIRST! Next…
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Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics
Posted inStatistics

Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics

You will forgive me if this post is more technical than usual. I try to leave out math, knowing how confusing it can be. But here it is necessary. The…
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  1. Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    gareth, If n = whatever, and k = 0,1,2,..., n. Then n - k = 0 at the end. And…

  2. gareth on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    16:43: "0!=1" - eh? n!=n*n-1... if n=0 then n!=0 Please explain or point to links that do :-) Comment: agree…

  3. NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…

  4. Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…

  5. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

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