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An Electoral Train Wreck In Progress — Guest Post by Young, Droz, Davis & Belhar
Posted inStatistics

An Electoral Train Wreck In Progress — Guest Post by Young, Droz, Davis & Belhar

S. Stanley Young, John Droz, Tom Davis, and Ray Belhar for The Science Team I am reporting for a pro bono team of computer scientists and statisticians, The Science Team.…
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The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
Posted inStatistics

The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
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How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
Posted inStatistics

How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
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Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent
Posted inStatistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…
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Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics
Posted inStatistics

Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics

A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of "Oh yeah,…
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An Argument Against The Multiverse
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

An Argument Against The Multiverse

The multiverse might be real. God might in His wisdom and love of completeness and true diversity and the joy of filling all possible potentials with actuality might have created…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad
Posted inClass Statistics

Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad

The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said "This plot shows the objects that were found to be 'the most…
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  1. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    ...and I saw 5 or 25 in the figure. The division answer never occurred to me. Got all the rest…

  2. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    If someone asks a question that is conditional on some evidence or rule that they conveniently (or purposely) leave out,…

  3. McChuck on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    The answer for the pictured question is obviously '1', as the slot already has a '1' in it, which has…

  4. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Mark, That's exactly it.

  5. Mark on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Wittgenstein gave some examples like this in his Remarks on the Foundation of Mathematics, a book I had no business…

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