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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad
Posted inClass Statistics

Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad

The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said "This plot shows the objects that were found to be 'the most…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts

This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we're 1.5 years out, it's time for a re-post. Buy it now, but it today, and buy it again…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes

Today's post is at the Stream: xkcd's Global Warming Time Series Mistakes. The popular web cartoon xkcd has provided a wonderful opportunity to plug my must-read (and too expensive) book…
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Posted inStatistics

Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause

The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…
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Posted inStatistics

Chapter 10 of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics FREE for New Subscribers!

Today a deal so unbelievable that it can't be believed! No, wait. In fact, the deal was so unbelievable that it couldn't be believed. This follows logically: that which is…
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Posted inStatistics

Just What Is Signal And What Is Noise?

There are two senses of Signal and Noise (SN). The first is obvious: a signal, some known phenomenon, is corrupted by outside forces, where these caused corruptions are the noise.…
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  1. C-Marie on On The Myths Of ScientismSeptember 16, 2025

    Great information!! Great comments!! Thank you! Peace, peace, Jesus alone is the Way, the Truth, and the Life. He has…

  2. Cary Cotterman on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 16, 2025

    Me too, Uncle Mike.

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    It's not funny anymore. I'm really sick of the Left. They're a satanic death cult. They murder children and other…

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    I think the article is a put-on. Not the first. A number of years ago, a Chinese guy gave $350M…

  5. tired citizen on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 16, 2025

    Other than complete separation - which Mr. Briggs astutely points out will never happen, there is no solution. They are…

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