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William M. Briggs

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Vaccine Efficiency Much Poorer In Real Life Than Promised In Clinical Trials — Coronavirus Update CII
Posted inStatistics

Vaccine Efficiency Much Poorer In Real Life Than Promised In Clinical Trials — Coronavirus Update CII

STUPENDOUS VIDEO (If the above video breaks, here's an alternate source.) Thanks to Ann Cherry and RA for the tip. Regular readers will know this is what we predicted back…
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The Noble Lie and Vexxine Madness — Coronavirus Update XCI
Posted inStatistics

The Noble Lie and Vexxine Madness — Coronavirus Update XCI

Once again, I beg you will forgive the use of the words vexxine and vexxinated. They are an attempt to avoid censor bots and cancellation. https://twitter.com/FamedCelebrity/status/1432456444880773125 https://twitter.com/FamedCelebrity/status/1432457513954381825 SAFETY FIRST! Next…
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Posted inStatistics

Boris Says Be A Girl For Great Reset; CDC Counts Vaccinated Differently; Kentucky Court Victory; The New HCQ Paper; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXV

JUICING NUMBERS https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1402708260344500226 He who controls the data controls The Science™ (I repeat myself.) WE TOLD YOU SO I don't like recommending long videos, and rarely do it. I recommend…
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Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent
Posted inStatistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…
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An Electoral Train Wreck In Progress — Guest Post by Young, Droz, Davis & Belhar
Posted inStatistics

An Electoral Train Wreck In Progress — Guest Post by Young, Droz, Davis & Belhar

S. Stanley Young, John Droz, Tom Davis, and Ray Belhar for The Science Team I am reporting for a pro bono team of computer scientists and statisticians, The Science Team.…
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Results Consistent With Vote Switching Seen In Eaton County, Michigan — Guest Post by Stan Young, Tom Davis & Eric Quinnell
Posted inStatistics

Results Consistent With Vote Switching Seen In Eaton County, Michigan — Guest Post by Stan Young, Tom Davis & Eric Quinnell

Briggs Do not let Biden, who sold the office of Vice Presidency, frighten you. The fight continues. https://twitter.com/SidneyPowell1/status/1337653024349687808 I'm part of this; for example, Georgia. Click through to the main…
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How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
Posted inStatistics

How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
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Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics
Posted inStatistics

Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics

A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of "Oh yeah,…
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  1. Philip Rogan on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Effective Altruism is something else I've never hard of but apparently has been infecting academic circles for decades. I took…

  2. John M on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Thanks for reminding me of that classic Klingon joke!

  3. Rob Potter on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Asimov's robot stories are the best example that an artificial intelligence is not intelligence. They were a fabulous way for…

  4. John Pate on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    We should all re-read our Ted Kaczynski materials. A man ahead of his time.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    While in university, I took a class called "Symbolic Logic". Logic was then taught through the Philosophy department, which was…

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