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Bayesian Yacht Sinks; Connected Man Run Over By Car: A Working Coincidence
Posted inStatistics

Bayesian Yacht Sinks; Connected Man Run Over By Car: A Working Coincidence

So a 184-foot yacht named Bayesian sank while anchored in a freak windstorm off Sicily. Its billionaire owner now sleeps with the fishes. The name of the boat naturally brings…
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Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes
Posted inStatistics

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

Here my friends is the whole of probability and uncertainty, in highlight form. A quick overview of where we have been, what we're doing, and where we're going. All can…
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Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 
Posted inStatistics

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 

The question is not mine. It belongs to Philip Stark, who asked it of Deborah Mayo at a Berkeley lecture. Stark plainly asked five good questions: When and how did…
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As Woke Falls, What Rises?
Posted inStatistics

As Woke Falls, What Rises?

In the heat of the Great Awokening, when it burned its brightest, many on the side of Reality tried their hand at defining woke. My own effort was a stubborn…
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Making Up Data To Prove Models?
Posted inStatistics

Making Up Data To Prove Models?

There is this idea in statistics called the "bootstrap." The idea is not crazy, but it's not quite right either. Works like this: data comes in, and usually some parameterized…
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Emergence Is Substance; Entanglement Is Substance: Science Is Healing
Posted inStatistics

Emergence Is Substance; Entanglement Is Substance: Science Is Healing

There is an idea taking shape, vague but gaining strength, that good things are coming to Science. Science, I say, not academia. Only a cleansing fire will save academia. One…
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The Easter Egg: A Coding Story — Guest Post by Jim Fedako
Posted inFun

The Easter Egg: A Coding Story — Guest Post by Jim Fedako

I am not talking about the plastic, candy-filled kind – the ones my wife, on Easter mornings, hands me by the dozen to hide throughout our yard, with more than…
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ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say
Posted inPhilosophy

ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say

We covered this before, but there are indications our All Models chant is not effective, or is not believed. Here is another attempt at showing it is true. So, all…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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