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The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy

Evidence for an event cannot be the horrific consequences of that event. Suppose we're interested in the probability of a Y = "Horrific plague". Since nothing has a probability, we…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God

Previous post. Next week we begin what the laws themselves are. THAT THE DIVINE LAW PRINCIPALLY ORDERS MAN TOWARD GOD 1 From this conclusion we may gather what it is…
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New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
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A German “Migrant” Explains Why Vigilantism Will Increase
Posted inCulture

A German “Migrant” Explains Why Vigilantism Will Increase

An old argument for a state police force is that justice is removed from family, clan, and tribe to what is seen as an impartial authority. This shift subdues, eliminates,…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Laws Are Divinely Given To Man
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Laws Are Divinely Given To Man

Previous post. Very simple Chapter this week. Notice that we don't say here what the law is, merely that is exists. THAT LAWS ARE DIVINELY GIVEN TO MAN 1 It…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Rational Creatures Are Governed For Their Own Sakes
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Rational Creatures Are Governed For Their Own Sakes

Previous post. THAT THE RATIONAL CREATURE IS DIRECTED BY GOD TO HIS ACTIONS NOT ONLY BY AN ORDERING OF THE SPECIES, BUT ALSO ACCORDING TO WHAT BEFITS THE INDIVIDUAL 1…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Animals Are Lower Than Man
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Animals Are Lower Than Man

Previous post. Only the lowest forms of slavery seek to control the thoughts of the slaves. Also see paragraph 12 for why it's okay to eat meat. THAT RATIONAL CREATURES…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Proper Ends
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Proper Ends

Previous post. ANSWER TO THE PREVIOUS ARGUMENTS 1 So, then, it is not difficult to answer the arguments that have been presented. 2 As a matter of fact, we are…
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  1. Michael on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026

    i deffinately miss paper tickets, especially on the rare occasion that I am required to fly. Electronics are a larger…

  2. NLR on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026

    That is a good reflection. More evidence that the two things which are frequently said about the modern world: that…

  3. Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026

    Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…

  4. Johnno on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    But Briggs... we pay people to make decisions on our behalf... Government exists, and it MUST do SOMETHING!!! What are…

  5. Johnno on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    BRIGGS YOU FOOL OF ARTIFICIALITY! Aye Eye exists for one reason and ONE REASON ONLY! To INCREASE Shareholder Value! If…

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