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The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism
Posted inStatistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism

Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…
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Academics Throw Fit After Being Told They Don’t Throw Fits Over IQ & Race
Posted inPhilosophy

Academics Throw Fit After Being Told They Don’t Throw Fits Over IQ & Race

There are many positions on IQ, the so-called intelligence quotient, but most fall into two camps. Those who reject IQ measures outright, because racism, and those who claim people have…
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Prime Example Of Consent Fallacy: Legalizing Prostitution
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Prime Example Of Consent Fallacy: Legalizing Prostitution

NYT: Could Prostitution Be Next to Be Decriminalized? Marijuana has gone mainstream, casino gambling is everywhere and sports wagering is spreading. Could prostitution be next? Lawmakers across the country are…
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Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working
Posted inStatistics

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

This is Update CX. https://twitter.com/Babygravy9/status/1470512309181296643 Conspiracy theorists: 27, Woke: 0. VAX SIDE EFFECTS I've been asked by a reader to give a simpler summary than the simple (but still complex)…
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The Week In Doom: There Will Be Priestesses Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Week In Doom: There Will Be Priestesses Edition

We are weeks behind in Doom. Doom other than the virus, that is. Here's a small attempt to catch up. Item Taylor Marshall reports "Yes, so Bishops are officially 'commissioning…
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Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…
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Normalising (Self-Willed) Loneliness: Vladimir Solovyov’s Antichrist and the Emerging Globalist Society — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

Normalising (Self-Willed) Loneliness: Vladimir Solovyov’s Antichrist and the Emerging Globalist Society — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

"False is the dawn that promises anything False is the hope and the talk of eternity and spring ... ... The stars are strange and this isn't home" In the…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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  1. John Pate on IQ Is Not IntelligenceJune 7, 2025

    Just accept the London School Briggs: IQ and the Big Five explain it all. Be a man and nail your…

  2. JH on Class 53: Laplace Was Right!June 6, 2025

    Since you used (8.7) at the beginning of the video, let me try again. A calculus fact: If f(N) approaches…

  3. When Chief Editors’ reviews go off the rails: Frontiers’/Dr. Eddy Davelaar’s criticism of our accepted meta-analysis and our detailed response – bobuttl.org on The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been VerifiedJune 5, 2025

    […] William M. Briggs (2024, Feb 8): The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified… […]

  4. Milton Hathaway on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    I seem to be missing something here. The "Average CD" chart shows a marked decline, while the "Total Papers" chart…

  5. Uncle Mike on Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering OutJune 4, 2025

    The problem, in a nutshell, is the trending longitudinal bibliometrics of stochastic heuristics. Vouchsafe the imperative and quotidian drivel perpetuates.

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