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Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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Normalising (Self-Willed) Loneliness: Vladimir Solovyov’s Antichrist and the Emerging Globalist Society — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

Normalising (Self-Willed) Loneliness: Vladimir Solovyov’s Antichrist and the Emerging Globalist Society — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

"False is the dawn that promises anything False is the hope and the talk of eternity and spring ... ... The stars are strange and this isn't home" In the…
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Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll
Posted inStatistics

Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll

Pew has a large survey out with the title "In a Politically Polarized Era, Sharp Divides in Both Partisan Coalitions: Partisanship remains biggest factor in public's political values." I have…
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Everything You Know Is Wrong — Book Excerpt! There Is No Wisdom In Crowds
Posted inFun

Everything You Know Is Wrong — Book Excerpt! There Is No Wisdom In Crowds

The most controversial book of the year is still on its way! I found two other publishers willing to give it a look, and they're reviewing it now. If they…
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Blog Year In Review: Top 10 Reader & My Favorites
Posted inFun

Blog Year In Review: Top 10 Reader & My Favorites

Tune in tomorrow to make your 2020 predictions! Results for 2019 coming Thursday. Reader Favorites Here were the Top 10 reader favorite posts of 2019, in which the numbers surprised…
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Most Controversial Book Of The Decade Coming Early 2020!
Posted inFun

Most Controversial Book Of The Decade Coming Early 2020!

Spread good cheer, the book is here! Well, not here, but it's on its way. I have decided to bring "        [MYSTERY TITLE]                      " out myself (title reveal coming soon).…
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Those-Who-Enjoy-Sodomy Attacked With Tanning Salons! Wee P-Values Confirm
Posted inStatistics

Those-Who-Enjoy-Sodomy Attacked With Tanning Salons! Wee P-Values Confirm

To prove that we are indeed doomed, and that we haven't even come close to hitting the bottom of the bottomless Pit Of Progress, this Newsweek headline: TANNING SALONS COULD…
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  1. JDinPA on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    CCReed: That’s a disturbing take on the late Z-Man in at least two senses: 1) If true, Z-Man was perpetrating…

  2. CCReed on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    A somewhat different take on the late Z-Man: https://bestservedcole.substack.com/p/the-z-man-story

  3. CorkyAgain on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    I think I stopped listening to radio around the time when Paul Harvey was no longer there to tell us…

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    @Alex: "The other abomination on the am dial is black talk radio. In Chicongo. Pure raciacist hatred of all things…

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    I've got a beautifully restored 1936 RCA Victor super-heterodyne "Magic-Eye" console radio with standard broadcast (AM), short-wave, and medium-wave bands,…

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