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On Breaking Climate Records — And Not Panicking
Posted inStatistics

On Breaking Climate Records — And Not Panicking

Thucydides in The Peloponnesian War speaks of Athenian prisoners dying from "variation in the temperature" in the conditions they were kept. Athens itself suffered deadly droughts at least in the…
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Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine
Posted inStatistics

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

This one picture proves why you must distrust every new boast from every scientist. Scientists' ideas must be assumed false until they are proven true by people other than themselves.…
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The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate
Posted inStatistics

The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate

Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper "Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety" by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph…
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Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online
Posted inStatistics

Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online

Video Here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLFDjRS_928 And here is Greg's talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6VMcIp21mA Transcript I followed this closely during the speech, but did not adhere to it perfectly. I don't have a…
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Modulation of Ice Ages – Without CO2 — Guest Post by Ralph Ellis
Posted inStatistics

Modulation of Ice Ages – Without CO2 — Guest Post by Ralph Ellis

Ellis sent me his paper "Modulation of Ice-ages via Precession and Dust-Albedo Feedbacks" in Geoscience Frontiers, and I found it rather intriguing. To greatly simplify: CO2 is good for you,…
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Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act
Posted inCulture

Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act

SCENE: A PRESTIGIOUS UNIVERSITY DRAMATIS PERSONAE: TWO AGING PRESTIGIOUS ACADEMICS "Hey, dude, we're, like scientists. Maybe we should, like, do some research." "Yeah, man. Do research." "Do research. We definitely…
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Coronadoom Misinformation Model Says What It Was Told To Say
Posted inStatistics

Coronadoom Misinformation Model Says What It Was Told To Say

Repeat after me (yes, this includes all you regulars, too): All models only say what they are told to say. Thank you. Now let's see this headline: "COVID-19 misinformation cost…
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How’d We Do On Our 2022 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2022 Predictions?

We had a great many predictions for 2022, so many that it would tedious for list them all. Therefore, to shorten this, I'll only highlight the best, or worst, or…
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  1. Briggs on The Dysgenics Of IVFNovember 28, 2025

    Anne, Ah, Julian Savulescu. A known lunatic. Thanks.

  2. Anne Webb on The Dysgenics Of IVFNovember 28, 2025

    You should take a look at this, where one of the authors argues that we may have a moral obligation…

  3. passerby on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    > Too many people know about these prophecies Fat lot of good that did for Cassandra, finest prophet ever.

  4. spaceranger on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    The online world is our graven image and celebrity culture our false idol.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    One thing I am always grateful for (well, 4 days a week) is being able to enjoy your posts. Thank…

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