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Posted inStatistics

The Implications Of Yesterday’s Global Warming Post

There was nothing in the world wrong with my scientific paper "Global Warming Increases Disastrous Music: A Scientific Paper." Nothing, that is, that isn't wrong with any paper which seeks,…
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Posted inStatistics

D.J. Keenan’s And My BEST Methodology Reviews

Doug Keenan was asked by The Economist to have a gander at the statistics developed by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. He did so. We must resist extensive…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

I have, with mechanical aid, again winged my way across the globe in search of treasure. I landed disoriented and would not trust myself to calculate even the integral of…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Predictions For 2011. How’d We do?

Last January 1st I asked for everybody to provide verifiable predictions for the year. Time for reckoning! Tomorrow I'll ask us to provide predictions for 2012, so hold off on…
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Posted inFun

First Signs of Rampant Global Cooling Seen At Nome, Alaska?

The headline from the 12 January 2012 Nome Nugget ("Alaska's Oldest Newspaper!") strikes a chill into one's heart:       Nome in long deep freeze. The Nome post of the National…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistics Of Loeb’s “Observed Changes In Top-Of-The-Atmosphere Radiation And Upper-Ocean Heating Consistent Within Uncertainty”

The paper is "Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty" by Norman Loeb and others in the journal Nature Geoscience. I'm pressed for time, so for…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate: Uncertainty Means That Things Can Be Worse Than Our Best Guess: Part I

The title sentence was spoken by professor Stephan Lewandowsky from the School of Psychology, University of Western Australia. The psychologist Lewandowsky is concerned that many are not as concerned about…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Global Warming Feedback Confirmed!

Just some gentle teasing today. Every climate scientist knows that it's the feedback that counts, that the few squirts of carbon dioxide contributed to the atmosphere are powerless in isolation.…
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  1. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    ...and I saw 5 or 25 in the figure. The division answer never occurred to me. Got all the rest…

  2. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    If someone asks a question that is conditional on some evidence or rule that they conveniently (or purposely) leave out,…

  3. McChuck on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    The answer for the pictured question is obviously '1', as the slot already has a '1' in it, which has…

  4. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Mark, That's exactly it.

  5. Mark on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Wittgenstein gave some examples like this in his Remarks on the Foundation of Mathematics, a book I had no business…

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