Posted inStatistics
Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values
We last did third-hand smoking back in 2011. Even then I didn't think the concept would far. How silly can you get? Pretty silly. Thanks to Dan Hughes we have…
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT
Summary Against Modern Thought: Worship Belongs To God Alone
Previous post. A good reminder "cult" has changed in meaning over time. Latria = highest kind of worship. Why we worship God is in #5 below. THAT THE CULT PROPER…
Posted inCulture
Janissaries, The LGBT Army & The End Of Empire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Mentita est iniquita sibi... Iniquity, as always, lies to itself. And then to everyone else. Eastern Orthodoxy is no exception. Because it is a deception, masquerading as a belief. As…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
Posted inCulture
An Unorthodox Murder Mystery — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Chicago is a very dangerous place for young Black men. It seems it's also very dangerous for Men-In-Black. Monomakhos received the following report that three GOA priests, who were actively…
Posted inStatistics
On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?
A strong no prize this year. Nobody did well enough. Not enough specific predictions, or those that were specific did not come to pass. Doom predictions are too easy: they…