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Coronavirus Update IX: End Game—Will Politicians Double Down On Fear Or End It?
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update IX: End Game—Will Politicians Double Down On Fear Or End It?

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Sit Still — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Sit Still — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

The hardest thing for any (sane) man to do is to sit still and take it like a real man. Especially when the 'it' is delivered by a shrieking witch.…
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Brain Scientist Thinks Their Brains Are Out To Kill Them And Get Away With It
Posted inStatistics

Brain Scientist Thinks Their Brains Are Out To Kill Them And Get Away With It

The peer-reviewed paper by Messrs Dor-Ziderman, Lutz, and Goldstein is in NeuroImage (the journal went with the hip no space) "Prediction-based neural mechanisms for shielding the self from existential threat".…
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The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I would like to preface this post with the following thought. Never depart for Moscow after the Ides of March. Unless you like Russian winters, of course. Bear with me…
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Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VII — We’ve Got Models (Update)

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, and…
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When Does A Small Probability Mean Impossibility?
Posted inClass Statistics

When Does A Small Probability Mean Impossibility?

Question from reader Richard Stevens: A professional scientist, holding an MS in one of the hard sciences, addressed the argument that the probability of creating a protein or an enzyme…
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The Week In Doom — Leftist Violence Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Leftist Violence Edition

Item The Treatment of Migrants Likely 'Meets the Definition of a Mass Atrocity' Children are suffering and dying. The fastest way to stop it is to make sure those responsible,…
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Coronavirus Update VI — Calm Yourselves
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VI — Calm Yourselves

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus,…
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  1. Michael Dowd on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    Perhaps more folks will discover "silence is golden."

  2. C-Marie on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    Well, not sure that I understand all of this, but is the brotherhood of priests referring to Roman Catholic priests…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    John Galt

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    Has anyone else interacted with our medical system lately? I wonder what changed...

  5. Hun on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    The only way to do this reliably is around a religion or occult faith. No religion in its current form…

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