Posted inStatistics
We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t
What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…
Posted inStatistics
Scared Scientists! Climate Terror!
Picture this The heck with evidence: it's how much you care that counts. That sentiment is what's behind Nick Bowers's new Scared Scientists project. Motto: "Nobody is safe"! The far-left…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Global Warming Non-Expert Expert
Reporteritis is the disease, or rather psychiatric condition, common among journalists, brought on by exposure to important people and events. The exposure causes the journalist to feel that he too…
Posted inPhilosophy
Philosophic Issues in Cosmology VII: Is there a Multiverse?–Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability
Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Explanation Vs Prediction
Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
Posted inPhilosophy
Philosophic Issues in Cosmology V: What Measurements Tell Us—Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
Posted inStatistics
There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A Projection
This is a tad incoherent, but the gist is here. I had the opportunity of submitting an abstract to the AGU fall meeting, and had only a couple of hours…