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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Teaching Journal: Day 7

The joke is old and hoary and so well known that I risk the reader's ire for repeating it. But it contains a damning truth. Most academic statistical studies are…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Teaching Journal: Day 6

(I'm assuming you have been reading previous posts. If not, do so.) We still want this:      (1) Pr (Distance > 1 meter | normal with m and s specified)…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

2012 UEFA European Football Championship And What Probability Is

A pair of statisticians have calculated that, as of 10 June, the probability that Germany takes the 2012 Euro Cup is 26.8%. Russia, they say, comes in with the next…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Worst Invention Of All Time?

Your help is urgently needed to decide what is the worst invention of all time. Any man-made item, and only man-made items, are eligible. Rocks, for instance, no matter to…
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Posted inStatistics

The Difference Between Technical And Plain English Correlation

Since the subject has come up so often, today a note on the words correlated and correlation. They have technical definitions and plain English meanings. The two definitions overlap but…
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Posted inStatistics

Believers Less Vindictive Than Godless Atheists: New Research

Vengeance Is Mine The actual title of the Live Science press release was "Believers Leave Punishment to Powerful God," a story which opens with the memorable words: Believing in an…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Interest In On-Line Statistics Courses?

You might have heard what happened to when Stanford professor Andrew Ng put his machine learning (a practical kind of statistical modeling) on line. He expected mild interest. One hundred…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Scientific Truths Are Not Better Truths Than Just-Plain Truths

One of the key fallacies of scientism, in the sense of being the most destructive to common sense and personal wellbeing, is to suppose that any theory put forth in…
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  1. C-Marie on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 24, 2026

    God bless you, dear Matt, and all yours, all the days, and thank you for your faithfulness to our Father,…

  2. spaceranger on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    Two things I can never figure out are UFO pictures and police body cam videos.

  3. Dave Narby on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    There's been some pretty clear ones lately, at least to the resolution of the camera used, e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pcEEXLOORLI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zkZ3x1T0QU This…

  4. James on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    The same logic applies to the phenomenon of "ball lightning". It sounds credible, but there are no photos of it…

  5. Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026

    Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…

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